YSS4-Labour markets, employment trajectories and wellbeing
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 |
| 11:00 - 13:00 |
| Auditorium 148 - Central corpus - Faculty of Classical and Modern Philology |
Details
Chair & Discussant: Simona Iammarino
Speaker
Dr. Xiuxiang Pan
Post-Doc Researcher
University of Groningen
Where Instability Hurts: The Spatial Contingency of Employment Trajectories and Wellbeing across European Regions
Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)
Dr. Xiuxiang Pan (p), Prof. Dimitris Ballas
Abstract
Does the same employment trajectory produce the same wellbeing consequences everywhere? The employment–wellbeing literature presents an implicit assumption of spatial invariance. This paper argues that the relationship between employment instability and wellbeing is fundamentally shaped by spatial context—specifically, the regional development condition and the national institutional setting. Place is not merely where instability happens, but a constitutive force that conditions how it translates into material hardship and subjective suffering. We integrate two previously isolated literatures—the macro-level ‘geography of discontent’ literature and the employment–wellbeing literature, by asking: how do urban–rural contexts and European welfare regimes moderate the wellbeing penalty of disadvantageous employment trajectories?
We advance three competing hypotheses. The amplification hypothesis predicts that unstable trajectories carry larger wellbeing penalties in rural and small-town settings, where thin labour markets limit recovery options—consistent with the “places that don’t matter” thesis. The buffering hypothesis predicts smaller penalties in rural areas due to lower living costs and informal support networks. The decoupling hypothesis predicts divergent patterns across wellbeing dimensions: urban contexts may amplify economic costs (high living expenses) while buffering psychological costs (anonymity), whereas rural contexts may buffer economic costs but amplify psychological harm (community stigma).
We use EU-SILC longitudinal microdata covering approximately 20–25 European countries. Exploiting the underutilized monthly activity calendar, we construct 48-month employment sequences for working-age adults across multiple entry cohorts. Wellbeing outcomes, including economic and psychology dimensions, are measured in the final year of the 48-month sequence period to address reverse causality. We then apply optimal matching and cluster analysis to identify a typology of monthly employment trajectories. Finally, we estimate the impact of various employment trajectories on individual wellbeing and how the association varies with regional background and country differences.
This paper makes three contributions. First, it provides the micro-level transmission mechanism linking regional development conditions to individual wellbeing through spatially contingent employment trajectories. Second, it redirects heterogeneity analysis from individual characteristics to spatial attributes, extending static regional wellbeing gaps with dynamic employment processes. Third, it tests whether spatial moderation is a universal structural feature or is itself conditioned by national welfare regimes. The findings carry direct implications for the EU’s place-sensitive social policy agenda.
We advance three competing hypotheses. The amplification hypothesis predicts that unstable trajectories carry larger wellbeing penalties in rural and small-town settings, where thin labour markets limit recovery options—consistent with the “places that don’t matter” thesis. The buffering hypothesis predicts smaller penalties in rural areas due to lower living costs and informal support networks. The decoupling hypothesis predicts divergent patterns across wellbeing dimensions: urban contexts may amplify economic costs (high living expenses) while buffering psychological costs (anonymity), whereas rural contexts may buffer economic costs but amplify psychological harm (community stigma).
We use EU-SILC longitudinal microdata covering approximately 20–25 European countries. Exploiting the underutilized monthly activity calendar, we construct 48-month employment sequences for working-age adults across multiple entry cohorts. Wellbeing outcomes, including economic and psychology dimensions, are measured in the final year of the 48-month sequence period to address reverse causality. We then apply optimal matching and cluster analysis to identify a typology of monthly employment trajectories. Finally, we estimate the impact of various employment trajectories on individual wellbeing and how the association varies with regional background and country differences.
This paper makes three contributions. First, it provides the micro-level transmission mechanism linking regional development conditions to individual wellbeing through spatially contingent employment trajectories. Second, it redirects heterogeneity analysis from individual characteristics to spatial attributes, extending static regional wellbeing gaps with dynamic employment processes. Third, it tests whether spatial moderation is a universal structural feature or is itself conditioned by national welfare regimes. The findings carry direct implications for the EU’s place-sensitive social policy agenda.
Dr. Femke Cnossen
Assistant Professor
University Of Groningen
Job Attributes and Turnover: The role of local labour market tightness
Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)
Dr. Femke Cnossen (p), Davide Lunardon
Abstract
We show how dissatisfaction with different job attributes relates to workers' job mobility. We distinguish between salary, tangible work arrangements and intangible attributes., using ten waves of the Dutch Working Conditions Survey (2014-2023) linked to administrative records covering over 400.000 workers. We find that dissatisfaction with intangible attributes (interesting work, learning opportunities and supervisors) is the strongest and most robust predictor of job separation, associated with a rise in the separation rate of three to five percentage points on a mean of 20.5%.
Different sources of dissatisfaction are associated with different mobility behaviours: salary dissatisfaction predicts job-to-job transitions, dissatisfaction with interesting work predicts exits into unemployment, and dissatisfaction with supervisors predicts transitions from wage employment into self-employment. These responses are partly cyclical: the relationship between intangible dissatisfaction and turnover is stronger in tighter labour markets. Overall, we show that the type of job attributes a worker is dissatisfied with matters both for the likelihood of leaving and for the kind of labour market transition that follows.
Different sources of dissatisfaction are associated with different mobility behaviours: salary dissatisfaction predicts job-to-job transitions, dissatisfaction with interesting work predicts exits into unemployment, and dissatisfaction with supervisors predicts transitions from wage employment into self-employment. These responses are partly cyclical: the relationship between intangible dissatisfaction and turnover is stronger in tighter labour markets. Overall, we show that the type of job attributes a worker is dissatisfied with matters both for the likelihood of leaving and for the kind of labour market transition that follows.
Ms Ruobing Li
Ph.D. Student
Corvinus University of Budapest
Firm Sorting and Gender Pay Gaps in Local Labour Markets
Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)
Ms Ruobing Li (p), Dr. Balázs Lengyel, Dr. Virág Ilyés
Abstract
This study examines how persistent firm wage components relate to the cross-district dispersion in adjusted gender pay gaps and which local labour-market characteristics are associated with the remaining
variation. Using Admin3 linked employer–employee records for 174 non-Budapest Hungarian residence districts during 2003–2017, it implements a three-step descriptive design. First, a pooled hourly-wage model recovers district-by-gender effects under common worker controls. Second, firm fixed effects are added and the dispersions of the recovered gaps are compared. Third, the baseline and firm-adjusted gaps are related to district characteristics. Firm fixed effects absorbed 68.8% of the baseline cross-district
variance, although adjusted female penalties remained in every district. A larger public-sector employment share was associated with a smaller firm-adjusted female penalty, a relationship that persisted when gaps were re-estimated among private-sector workers. Greater industry concentration was associated with a
larger penalty, although inference was weaker. The findings provide a fine-grained spatial accounting of firm-related compression and the correlates of the remaining district variation. They do not identify
separate firm-side channels or causal effects.
variation. Using Admin3 linked employer–employee records for 174 non-Budapest Hungarian residence districts during 2003–2017, it implements a three-step descriptive design. First, a pooled hourly-wage model recovers district-by-gender effects under common worker controls. Second, firm fixed effects are added and the dispersions of the recovered gaps are compared. Third, the baseline and firm-adjusted gaps are related to district characteristics. Firm fixed effects absorbed 68.8% of the baseline cross-district
variance, although adjusted female penalties remained in every district. A larger public-sector employment share was associated with a smaller firm-adjusted female penalty, a relationship that persisted when gaps were re-estimated among private-sector workers. Greater industry concentration was associated with a
larger penalty, although inference was weaker. The findings provide a fine-grained spatial accounting of firm-related compression and the correlates of the remaining district variation. They do not identify
separate firm-side channels or causal effects.