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S33-S1 Location choice and impacts of interregional migration

Tracks
Special Session
Thursday, August 30, 2018
2:00 PM - 4:00 PM
WGB_G08

Details

Convenor(s): Bianca Biagi; Claudio Detotto; Viktor Venhorst / Chair: Inge Hooijen


Speaker

Mr Lorenz Fischer
Assistant Professor
Johannes Kepler University Linz

Migrations inability to alleviate regional disparities: The grass is still greener on the other side of the fence

Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)

Lorenz Fischer (p)

Discussant for this paper

Inge Hooijen

Abstract

This paper attempts to explain the seeming unresponsiveness of labor to react to economic disparities in terms of migration. In theory, the potential of workers to implicitly alleviate regional disparities in, for example, unemployment or wage levels by relocating appears potent, but finds little support empirically. To resolve this perplexity, a dynamic discrete choice model is used, which translates into a two stage estimation strategy for recovering structural parameters. Investigating Austrian bilateral movements on the NUTS 3 level from 2002 to 2014, the results suggest that this unresponsiveness builds on two pillars. First, estimated average migration costs are in the range of 4.5 times the average wage per worker, which appears sizable enough to prevent taking advantage of economic opportunities for workers. These costs are shown to have decreased over time, though. Second, the relatively high variation in the random utility shifter can be interpreted as relative unimportance of regional disparities in forming migration decisions. Finally, a spatial approach on estimated regional valuations reveals an apparent 'beauty contest' of regions, where regions' own valuations suffer from proximity to highly attractive ones.
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Dr. Michaela Fuchs
Senior Researcher
Institute for Employment Research

Return Migration of workers: evidence for German regions

Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)

Michaela Fuchs (p), Robert Nadler, Duncan Roth, Stefan Theuer, Antje Weyh

Discussant for this paper

Lorenz Fischer

Abstract

This paper investigates the small-scale out- and return migration of workers within Germany. We use a unique dataset that covers virtually all labor market participants in Germany and trace their migration and employment history from 1999 to 2014. Mapping the spatial patterns of out- and return migration at the level of the NUTS 3-regions, we show that interregional migration is not limited to certain parts of the country but is rather pervasive. Out-migration broadly captures movements out of the larger cities and their surroundings. Likewise, return migration follows geographical patterns which are built between large cities and their hinter-land as well as between cities and rural regions. Featuring higher return rates in many in-stances, rural regions generally profit more from return migration than the larger cities. We further investigate in how far the return migrants can contribute to stabilize the labor demand in their region of origin, which is of special importance for the rural and economically weak regions. This impact varies profoundly between the single regions, with the negatively affect-ed regions being very heterogeneous. For the workers themselves, we find evidence for im-provements in their employment status that go along with internal return migration. This especially holds for those who were unemployed before out-migrating.
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Prof. Arthur Grimes
Full Professor
Motu Economic & Public Policy Research

Migration and Gender: Who Gains and in Which Ways?

Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)

Kate Preston , Arthur Grimes (p)

Discussant for this paper

Michaela Fuchs

Abstract

See document (full paper)
Dr Inge Hooijen
Ph.D. Student
Maastricht University

Relevance of geographical psychology in location choice of recent graduates in the Netherlands

Author(s) - Presenters are indicated with (p)

Inge Hooijen (p), Ineke Bijlsma, Frank Cörvers, Davey Poulissen

Discussant for this paper

Arthur Grimes

Abstract

There is ample evidence from different research disciplines that locational factors such as employment opportunities or the availability of amenities and facilities are a powerful predictor of settlement behaviour. Recent research indicates that personality traits leave a geographical mark behind too. This study explores the spatial distribution of personality traits of recent graduates in the Netherlands and its correlates to a diverse set of regional characteristics. The results of the Getis-Ord G* statistic reveal a distinct geographical clustering of personality traits between the North and South of the Netherlands. The results furthermore show robust associations between personality traits and several regional demographic, health, political and physical outcomes. Additionally, we run a discrete choice model to examine the role of personality traits and regional characteristics in choosing alternative residential locations. The findings indicate that economic factors predominate and the effect sizes of personality traits show to be rather small in explaining location choice.
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